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  • Chris Sobey

Tennis


Roger Federer upset the odds and kept the race for the World Number One open by beating favourite Nadal in Sunday’s Shanghai Masters Series final 6-3 6-4. The win was Federer’s second at Shanghai, he extended his Masters Series win record to 27 and it was his 94th ATP title in total, which puts him joint second on the all-time list alongside Ivan Lendl.

On to this week action and there are two well established ATP 250 Tour tournaments at Stockholm, Sweden and Moscow, Russia, and there’s a new event in Antwerp, Belgium which began last year. I will start with the Stockholm event and defending champion and fourth seed Del Potro returns to defend his title. The top-seed has a good record at Stockholm winning five of the last ten titles (last Berdych 2015) and they were a losing finalist twice in this period (last Ferrer 2013), which bodes well for Dimitrov’s chances this week.

The second seed has not performed well at Stockholm over the last decade winning one of the last ten titles (last Berdych 2012) and they were a losing finalist once in this period, which does not bode well for Andersons chances this week. Seeded players in general have a strong record at Stockholm; a player seeded no higher than seven won eight of the last ten titles (last Berdych 2015) and a player seeded no higher than seven was a losing finalist six times during this period (last Sock 2016).

Unseeded players have not performed well at Stockholm over the last decade winning only two of the last ten titles (last Del Potro 2016) and they were a losing finalist four times during this period (last 2011). From a betting perspective

At Moscow defending champion Carreno-Busta lines up as the top-seed and judging by past statistics he has a reasonable chance of defending his title as the top-seed has won four of the last ten titles (last Cilic 2015) and they were never a losing finalist during this period. The second seed has an average record winning two of the last ten titles (last Cilic 2014) and they were a losing finalist twice during this period (last 2015 Bautista Agut), which does not bode well for Ramos-Vinolas’ chances this week.

Seeded players in general have a strong record at Moscow; a player seeded no higher than six won eight of the last ten titles (last Carreno-Busta 2016) and a player seeded no higher than seven was a losing finalist eight times during this period.

Unseeded players don’t have a great record at Moscow having won two of the last ten titles (last 2010 Troicki) and they were a losing finalist twice in this period (last 2016 Fognini). From a betting perspective at Moscow fourth seed Kolhschreiber (13/2) and fifth seed Rublev (10/1) appeal the most.

Finally, the tournament at Antwerp is a new event that started last year and defending champion Gasquet lines up alongside top-seed Goffin. who was in red hot form during the Asian swing where he won two tournaments at Shenzhen and Tokyo, and compatriot and second seed Tsonga. Kyrgios seeded three also lines up after he left Shanghai for the second-year courting controversy and was hit by big financial fines for his conduct.


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