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  • Chris Sobey


The Premier League and EFL football action returns this weekend after the International break and things get underway tonight in the Championship between Brighton and Aston Villa at the Falmer stadium. Brighton are favourites to win, they have the league’s strongest home record on goal difference, they are unbeaten in their last ten league fixtures and won four of their last five at home. Villa have only won one of their eight league away games, drawing four and six of these games ended with less than 3 goals.

Brighton average 2 goals per game at home in the league this season and conceded on average less than a goal per game, while Villa score less than a goal per game away and concede on average 1 goal per game. With little previous corresponding league data to go on I will use this seasons statistics as a guide and Brighton to win (19/20) is worth considering based on the above data and if you are searching for a better price Brighton to Win and Under 2.5 Goals Match Double result (27/10)is also worth considering.

On Saturday the Premier League actions gets underway at lunchtime with a real blockbuster between Manchester United and Arsenal at Old Trafford. United’s league form has been inconsistent so far this season and they’ve won two, lost one and drawn their last two at home. Arsenal have been in great form this season, they are unbeaten in their last ten in the league overall, winning seven and drawing three, and are unbeaten on the road winning their last four.

On form this season Arsenal should be favourites however, history is not on their side as they last won at the theatre of dreams back in 2006, they’ve lost 22 times against the Red Devils (more than they have against any other team) and 15 of the defeats came at Old Trafford. United are unbeaten in nine of the last ten corresponding league fixtures (W7 D3 L1) and six of the matches ended with Both Teams scoring.

The safest bet for this match looks to be Both Teams to score (4/5) as Both Teams scored in 60% of their respective league home and away games this season. If you are searching for a better price Rooney in the ATG market (14/5) is worth considering, as he scored 14 times in all competitions against the Gunners and only needs two more goals to match Sir Bobby Charlton’s United all-time scoring record.

The Premier League tea time kick-off is an all London affair between Spurs and West Ham at White Hart Lane. Spurs are the only Premier League team to go unbeaten in the league so far this season, but they’ve drawn more matches than they’ve won (W5 D6) and there on their longest winless run in all competitions since May 2004. At home in the league this season they’ve won three, drawn two and all five games ended with less than 3 goals, as did nine of their eleven league matches overall so far this season. The Hammers lost four of their five league away games this season, winning one; they’ve only won three of eleven overall, drawing two, and their last five overall ended with less than 3 goals.

Spurs won six of the last ten corresponding league fixtures, drawing three, and the last four ended with more than 2 goals scored. Recent corresponding encounters have all produced goals and with plenty of attacking talent on show and more of West Ham’s best attacking players returning I expect today’s encounter to be no different. Over 2.5 goals (4/5) is definitely worth considering, or if you’re searching for a better price the Spurs Win and Over 2.5 Goals Match Double (11/8) has a good chance of being successful.

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