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  • Chris Sobey

Football


The domestic football action gets underway tonight with the Championship fixture between Nottingham Forest and Newcastle United at the City Ground, which is live on satellite TV. This is the first time the two teams have met since 2011 when they fought out a seven goal thriller in the Carling Cup at the City Ground, which Newcastle won 4-3 in extra-time (2-2 normal time). Forest won three of the last ten competitive corresponding fixtures between 1986 and 2011, drawing four and six of these games ended with less than 3 goals scored.

Newcastle have the best away record in the league this season, winning seven and drawing two and have only lost once, which was their first game of the season at Fulham. They’ve scored on average 1.9 goals per game and conceded less than a goal per game in the league away from home this season and over 70% of the games ended with less than 3 goals scored. Forest won four, drew two and lost two at home in the league this season. They have scored on average over 2 goals per game, conceded on average 1.75 goals per game, over 70% of their home games ended with more than 3 goals scored and all of their home games ended with Both Teams scoring.

With Newcastle being involved in an extra-time and penalty shoot-out on Tuesday night, which they lost, I expect they may experience a bit of a hangover from that depressing experience. Forest have been inconsistent this season, a lot of their games have featured plenty of goals and I think this could be another high scoring affair. Both Teams to Score or, the Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals Match Double appeal from a betting perspective tonight.

Saturday’s Premier League football action gets underway at lunchtime with the blockbuster tie between Premier League favourites and second placed Manchester City and leaders Chelsea at the Etihad. City have won five of the last ten corresponding league fixtures, drawing one and six of the games ended with less than 3 goals scored.

City won three and drew three at home in the league this season. They score on average 2 goals per game, concede less than a goal per game on average and over 80% of their league home games ended with Both Teams scoring. Chelsea won four and drew one away in the league this season and their one defeat came against Arsenal (3-0). They’ve scored on average 1.5 goals per game away in the league this season; concede on average 1 goal per game and over 70% of their games ended with Both Teams not scoring.

From a betting perspective it looks like Both Teams to Score is a distinct possibility given City’s home record and both teams average goals scored per game home/away this season. Also, with not many draws between the two in this corresponding fixture, City’s home form inconsistent and Chelsea in such good form opposing City on the exchanges or handicap is also worth considering.

The final Premier League game on Saturday is the tea-time kick-off and a London derby between West Ham and Arsenal at the London Stadium. Wet Ham have only won one of the last ten corresponding Premier League fixtures, drawing three and six of these matches ended with more than 3 goals, including the last six and five of the last six ended with Both Teams scoring.

From a betting perspective Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals or Arsenal to Win and Over 2.5 Goals Match Doubles both appeal given their previous corresponding encounters and both teams respective home and away-form this season.


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