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Football


There was no change at the top of the Premier League table last night as Chelsea drew 1-1 at Liverpool, Spurs missed the chance to go outright second drawing 0-0 at Sunderland and Arsenal dropped points losing at home against Watford 2-1.

There were big wins for relegation threatened Palace, who beat Bournemouth 2-0 at Dean Court, and Swansea who beat Southampton 2-1 at the Liberty Stadium. Palace moved three points clear of second bottom Sunderland and Swansea maintained a 2 point lead over Palace. Burnley moved up to ninth thanks to a 1-0 win against Leicester at Turf Moor and Middlesbrough and West Brom shared a point at the Riverside.

We have three more Premier League games tonight featuring West Ham against Manchester City at the London Stadium, Manchester United against Hull at Old Trafford and Stoke against Everton at the Bet365 Stadium. West Ham will want to gain revenge for the 5-0 FA Cup thrashing at the London Stadium at the beginning of January and they will draw confidence from City’s recent poor away-form which includes a 4-0 thrashing at Everton on the 15th January.

West Ham won three of their last ten corresponding Premier League fixtures against City, drawing three and six of these games end with less than 3 goals scored, but the last five competitive corresponding fixtures ended with 2 or more goals scored. West Ham won five, drew two and lost four at home in the league this season and City won seven and lost four.

West Ham averaged 1 goal scored per game and conceded on average 1.5 goals per game at home in the league this season and City scored on average 2 goals per game and conceded on average 1.5 goals per game away in the league this season. Over 60% of West Ham’s league home games this season ended with less than 3 goals scored and Both Teams ‘Not’ scoring over 80% of City’s away games ended with 2 or more goals scored and over 50% ended with Both Teams scoring.

From a betting perspective backing Over 3.5 Goals or if you are looking for a better return Both Teams to Score ‘Yes’ and Over 3.5 goals should go close to returning a profit.

Manchester United could overtake rivals City tonight if they win and City lose at West Ham and also close the gap on Liverpool in fourth and Spurs in third as they both drew last night. United have won nine of the last ten competitive corresponding fixtures against Hull, losing one and six of the games ended with more than 2 goals scored. United won five, drew five and lost one of their league home game this season and Hull won one, drew one and lost nine of their league away games this season.

United averaged 1.6 goals scored and conceded on average less than a goal per game at home in the league this season. Hull scored on average less than a goal per game and conceded on average 2.3 goals per game away in the league this season. Over 60% of United’s league home games this season ended with less than 3 goals scored and over 70% ended with Both Teams scoring. Over 60% of Hulls league away games this season ended with less than 3 goals scored and Both Teams ‘Not’ scoring.

From a betting perspective United should collect three points without too much drama, but it may not be a high scoring affair. Backing or trading the 2-0 correct score or United to Win to Nil are bets worth considering based on the above statistics.


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