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  • Chris sobey


The seeded players get their Miami Masters campaigns underway today and tomorrow and with conditions likely to be overcast, humid, slow and windy it could be a day to oppose the big serving less agile players. From a match betting/trading perspective its worth taking on American 22nd seed Sam Querrery against veteran Robredo as the Spaniard leads the head-to-head 4-0, which all came on hard courts in America (3) and Australia (1) between 2007 and 2015.

Two other Americans that may struggle in the conditions are 29th seed Steve Johnson (1.36) against Mahut who leads their head-to-head 2-0 and American 13th seed Jack Sock (1.3) could face a tough encounter against the underrated lefty Nishioka, who knocked out Berdych at Indian Wells last week. 26th seed Philip Kohlschreiber (1.55) has a poor record at Miami having never ventured past the third round and NextGen star Taylor Fritz could end his challenge early again this year.

Pablo Carreno-Busta (1.5) has been in great form of late, which culminated in a first Masters Series semi-final appearance at Indian Wells last week. However, he’s played a lot of tennis over the last month and faces Del Bonis today, who leads their head-to-head 4-1, and this looks like a good time to take the young Spaniard on. Pablo Cuevas (1.55) seeded 21 carried his good clay form in to Indian Wells last week where he made the quarter-finals however, he has a poor record at Miami with his best result being two third round appearances in 2011 and 2016. He faces Paire next, who leads the head-to-head 2-0, and the talented but frustrating Frenchman is more than capable of upsetting the odds again on this occasion.

This could be a good time to perm some of the above outsiders in a multiple and I suggest going for all six i.e. Robredo, Mahut, Nishioka, Fritz, Del Bonis and Paire in a Heinz or Lucky 63 at around 630/1 or if you want to reduce your outlay Mahut, Fritz, Del Bonis and Paire around 50/1 in a Lucky 15.

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