• Chris Sobey


Before moving on to the US Open preview I’ll just give a quick rundown on last weeks ATP Tour tennis action at Winston-Salem, The NextGen generation continued their good recent hard court form in the shape of third seed Poland’s Hurkacz, who won his first ATP Tour title beating top-seed Paire in three sets on Saturday night.

On to this week’s action and we have the fourth and final Grand Slam of the season the US Open, which gets underway at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Centre in Flushing Meadow inNew York, USA today and we look set for another fascinating and highly entertaining fortnight of world-class tennis.

The big three of Djokovic, Nadal and Federer head the seedings and betting. Top seed, defending champion and three-time winner Djokovic is favourite to defend his title. Second seed and three-time US Open champion Nadal will aim to win his second Slam of the season and after a perfect preparation winning the Rogers Cup in Canada it’s very likely he will be contesting the final in two weeks’ time. Third Seed and five-time US Open champion Federer won his last title over a decade ago in 2008 and last made the final in 2013. He will be glad he’s avoided Nadal in the bottom half of the draw, but as he’s not seriously challenged for the title since 2013 it’s unlikely, he’ll feature in the final two weeks today.

Looking at the statistics over the last decade the top-seed has a good record at the US Open over the last decade winning four titles during this period (last Nadal 2017) and they were a losing finalist three times during this period (last Djokovic 2016), which bodes well for Djokovic’s chances of winning a fourth title this year. The second seed has not performed as well over the last decade only winning one of the last ten titles (last Nadal 2013) and they were a losing finalist three times during this period (last Federer 2015).

Seeded players overall have a very strong record at the US Open over the last decade; a player seeded no higher than fourteen won the last ten titles and a player seeded no higher than six won nine of the last ten titles. A player seeded no higher than twenty-eight featured in the last ten finals as well. Unseeded players don’t have a great record over the last decade having never won the title or reached the final.

From an outright tournament betting perspective past statistics suggest siding with a seeded player no higher than six who is a proven top-class performer at this level on hard courts as they’ve won nine of the last ten titles and featured in nine of the last ten finals. To find out who I’m tipping to win this year’s US Open please select one of the Pay Pal buttons.

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